Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wimbledon beat Arsenal with a 17.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 27 (before the first match) against those on March 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 29.3% | 78.4% | +49.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 38.8% | 72.6% | +33.8 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 25.5% | 53.1% | +27.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 16.0% | 41.6% | +25.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 16.0% | 41.6% | +25.6 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 69.3% | 44.0% | −25.3 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 69.3% | 44.0% | −25.3 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 57.0% | 32.9% | −24.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 19.4% | 2.8% | −16.6 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 65.3% | 49.3% | −16.1 |
