Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wimbledon beat Chelsea with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 24 (before the first match) against those on January 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 22.4% | 59.4% | +37.1 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 37.2% | 12.1% | −25.1 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 42.4% | 65.0% | +22.6 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 51.0% | 62.4% | +11.4 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 9.9% | 0.1% | −9.8 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 24.9% | 15.6% | −9.3 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 12.5% | 3.3% | −9.2 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 8.8% | 1.3% | −7.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 90.0% | 96.8% | +6.8 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 78.6% | 85.1% | +6.5 |
