Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Atlético Madrid with a 14.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 16 (before the first match) against those on May 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 63.9% | 100% | +36.1 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 33.7% | 0% | −33.7 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 91.8% | 100% | +8.2 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 3.6% | 0% | −3.6 |
