Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Girona with a 19.4% chance and Cádiz beat Sevilla with a 14.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 13 (before the first match) against those on May 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Conference League | 50.7% | 33.7% | −17.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 48.3% | 63.9% | +15.6 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 95.6% | 91.8% | −3.8 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 0.4% | 3.6% | +3.2 |
