Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Girona beat Barcelona with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 4 (before the first match) against those on December 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 84.3% | 72.3% | −12.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 26.7% | 37.5% | +10.9 |
| Girona | Champions League | 74.2% | 83.5% | +9.3 |
| Girona | Champion | 11.7% | 20.3% | +8.6 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 28.8% | 21.2% | −7.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 14.7% | 7.8% | −6.9 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 8.8% | 14.9% | +6.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 18.4% | 24.3% | +5.9 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 16.2% | 11.4% | −4.8 |
| Athletic Club | Conference League | 21.1% | 25.3% | +4.2 |
