Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 6 (before the first match) against those on November 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 32.2% | 20.7% | −11.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 47.3% | 55.9% | +8.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 73.5% | 80.6% | +7.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 19.2% | 12.6% | −6.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 70.6% | 77.1% | +6.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 25.3% | 30.7% | +5.5 |
| Almería | Relegation | 87.0% | 92.3% | +5.3 |
| Athletic Club | Conference League | 15.5% | 20.3% | +4.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 17.5% | 21.9% | +4.4 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 5.5% | 1.6% | −3.9 |
