Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Las Palmas beat Atlético Madrid with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 30 (before the first match) against those on November 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 37.3% | 25.3% | −12.0 |
| Girona | Champions League | 56.4% | 66.8% | +10.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 83.6% | 73.5% | −10.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 40.8% | 32.2% | −8.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 24.1% | 16.4% | −7.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 75.4% | 83.0% | +7.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 12.0% | 19.2% | +7.3 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 17.9% | 24.0% | +6.1 |
| Granada | Relegation | 64.7% | 70.6% | +5.9 |
| Girona | Champion | 7.7% | 13.3% | +5.6 |
