Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cádiz beat Real Valladolid with a 19.7% chance and Getafe beat Osasuna with a 9.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 12 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | Relegation | 33.7% | 19.8% | −14.0 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 64.4% | 53.7% | −10.7 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 21.5% | 11.8% | −9.7 |
| Elche | Relegation | 44.9% | 53.9% | +9.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 43.7% | 34.7% | −9.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 40.3% | 48.2% | +7.9 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 19.9% | 13.2% | −6.7 |
| Almería | Relegation | 30.6% | 36.0% | +5.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 23.2% | 28.3% | +5.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 81.1% | 86.3% | +5.1 |
