Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Real Sociedad with a 17.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 5 (before the first match) against those on September 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Champions League | 64.1% | 50.5% | −13.6 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 47.1% | 33.7% | −13.4 |
| Girona | Relegation | 26.0% | 17.2% | −8.8 |
| Elche | Relegation | 36.5% | 44.9% | +8.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 19.1% | 11.2% | −7.9 |
| Villarreal | Champion | 16.1% | 8.4% | −7.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 36.5% | 43.7% | +7.2 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 58.1% | 64.4% | +6.3 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 17.4% | 23.2% | +5.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 13.6% | 8.1% | −5.5 |
