Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Athletic Club with a 8.3% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 29 (before the first match) against those on September 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
BarcelonaChampions League64.9%76.5%+11.5
EspanyolRelegation34.0%22.5%−11.5
Real ValladolidRelegation48.6%37.7%−10.9
VillarrealChampions League53.9%64.1%+10.1
Athletic ClubChampions League27.2%17.4%−9.8
GetafeRelegation38.4%47.1%+8.7
Real BetisChampions League55.1%46.5%−8.6
CádizRelegation49.7%58.1%+8.4
ElcheRelegation28.5%36.5%+8.0
SevillaChampions League15.6%7.9%−7.7
Home 67.0%
Draw 20.9%
Away 12.1%
Home 52.3%
Draw 25.5%
Away 22.2%
Home 55.1%
Draw 24.6%
Away 20.3%
Home 37.8%
Draw 30.6%
Away 31.6%
Home 32.7%
Draw 31.2%
Away 36.1%
Home 57.3%
Draw 23.9%
Away 18.8%
Home 72.3%
Draw 19.3%
Away 8.3%
Home 74.7%
Draw 18.6%
Away 6.7%
Home 67.9%
Draw 20.6%
Away 11.5%
Home 33.2%
Draw 31.5%
Away 35.3%