Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Rayo Vallecano with a 16.7% chance and Almería beat Sevilla with a 15.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 22 (before the first match) against those on August 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 28.6% | 15.8% | −12.9 |
| Almería | Relegation | 35.1% | 23.5% | −11.6 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 40.2% | 49.7% | +9.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 24.1% | 15.6% | −8.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 62.1% | 53.9% | −8.2 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 19.4% | 27.2% | +7.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 41.0% | 48.6% | +7.6 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 27.0% | 34.0% | +6.9 |
| Villarreal | Champion | 19.7% | 12.8% | −6.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 58.8% | 64.9% | +6.2 |
