Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Elche beat Athletic Club with a 9.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 25 (before the first match) against those on May 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | Relegation | 32.1% | 2.9% | −29.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 7.1% | 31.3% | +24.2 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 24.4% | 0.3% | −24.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 37.5% | 50.9% | +13.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 87.1% | 100% | +12.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 5.6% | 0% | −5.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 5.6% | 0% | −5.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 94.4% | 100% | +5.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 94.4% | 100% | +5.6 |
| Almería | Relegation | 8.7% | 13.7% | +5.0 |
