Round 38

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 6 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Barcelona with a 20.5% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on May 28 (before the first match) against those on June 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Real ValladolidRelegation50.9%100%+49.1
Celta VigoRelegation31.3%0%−31.3
AlmeríaRelegation13.7%0%−13.7
Home 41.8%
Draw 29.1%
Away 29.1%
Home 46.9%
Draw 27.4%
Away 25.8%
Home 63.3%
Draw 22.0%
Away 14.7%
Home 53.2%
Draw 25.2%
Away 21.6%
Home 39.0%
Draw 30.2%
Away 30.9%
Home 20.5%
Draw 24.7%
Away 54.8%
Home 35.6%
Draw 31.4%
Away 33.0%
Home 45.0%
Draw 28.0%
Away 27.0%
Home 55.6%
Draw 24.4%
Away 19.9%
Home 35.2%
Draw 31.6%
Away 33.3%