Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Barcelona with a 11.6% chance and Getafe beat Real Betis with a 14.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 21 (before the first match) against those on May 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 61.4% | 37.5% | −23.9 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 54.1% | 32.1% | −22.0 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 7.0% | 24.4% | +17.4 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 77.6% | 94.4% | +16.8 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 72.2% | 87.1% | +14.9 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 85.1% | >99.9% | +14.9 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 13.8% | 0% | −13.8 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 13.7% | 0% | −13.7 |
| Almería | Relegation | 3.0% | 8.7% | +5.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 1.8% | 7.1% | +5.2 |
