Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Real Madrid with a 17.1% chance and Cádiz beat Real Betis with a 11.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 3 (before the first match) against those on April 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Champions League | 33.6% | 12.3% | −21.3 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 34.2% | 17.2% | −16.9 |
| Almería | Relegation | 40.3% | 25.0% | −15.3 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 24.0% | 39.1% | +15.0 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 24.7% | 39.7% | +14.9 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 43.9% | 56.4% | +12.5 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 30.4% | 17.9% | −12.4 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 15.3% | 25.2% | +9.9 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 31.2% | 23.3% | −7.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 22.7% | 16.3% | −6.3 |
