Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Villarreal with a 8.8% chance and Mallorca beat Celta Vigo with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 10 (before the first match) against those on April 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 50.0% | 27.2% | −22.8 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 25.2% | 39.3% | +14.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 39.7% | 25.9% | −13.8 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 12.3% | 25.0% | +12.7 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 39.1% | 27.6% | −11.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 56.4% | 65.2% | +8.8 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 17.9% | 25.4% | +7.4 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 35.9% | 31.0% | −4.9 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 5.6% | 10.4% | +4.9 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 17.2% | 22.0% | +4.7 |
