Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 19 (before the first match) against those on April 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 53.7% | 42.4% | −11.2 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 13.9% | 24.7% | +10.8 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 35.6% | 43.9% | +8.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 14.9% | 22.7% | +7.7 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 27.2% | 34.2% | +7.0 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 23.9% | 30.2% | +6.3 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 7.9% | 2.5% | −5.5 |
| Almería | Relegation | 45.2% | 40.3% | −4.9 |
| Girona | Relegation | 7.0% | 2.1% | −4.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 41.1% | 45.8% | +4.7 |
