Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cádiz beat Atlético Madrid with a 12.6% chance and Rayo Vallecano beat Sevilla with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 24 (before the first match) against those on October 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Champions League | 32.9% | 47.8% | +15.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 31.5% | 43.7% | +12.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 69.8% | 58.8% | −10.9 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 57.0% | 46.4% | −10.6 |
| Almería | Relegation | 33.5% | 23.1% | −10.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 60.8% | 50.8% | −10.0 |
| Elche | Relegation | 62.6% | 72.0% | +9.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 30.4% | 21.6% | −8.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 15.9% | 23.5% | +7.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 15.3% | 22.9% | +7.6 |
