Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Real Sociedad with a 22.0% chance and Mallorca beat Valencia with a 13.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 20 (before the first match) against those on October 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 57.3% | 69.8% | +12.5 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 46.0% | 57.0% | +11.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 23.6% | 15.3% | −8.3 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 40.8% | 32.9% | −7.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 38.2% | 30.4% | −7.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 22.3% | 14.8% | −7.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 29.2% | 35.8% | +6.6 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 22.6% | 16.4% | −6.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 10.3% | 5.6% | −4.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 91.1% | 95.8% | +4.7 |
