Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Girona beat Athletic Club with a 22.9% chance, Mallorca beat Villarreal with a 10.9% chance, and Rayo Vallecano beat Real Madrid with a 19.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 31 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 43.7% | 56.6% | +12.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 50.8% | 38.8% | −12.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 29.5% | 20.8% | −8.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 17.1% | 9.1% | −8.0 |
| Girona | Relegation | 36.0% | 28.3% | −7.7 |
| Almería | Relegation | 23.1% | 30.5% | +7.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 23.5% | 30.9% | +7.4 |
| Elche | Relegation | 72.0% | 78.3% | +6.3 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 9.8% | 15.7% | +5.9 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 22.9% | 18.0% | −4.9 |
