Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cádiz beat Athletic Club with a 12.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 1 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 61.4% | 73.9% | +12.5 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 47.5% | 36.2% | −11.4 |
| Levante | Relegation | 55.8% | 64.3% | +8.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 20.0% | 11.5% | −8.5 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 21.4% | 13.9% | −7.5 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 49.3% | 56.4% | +7.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 38.3% | 31.5% | −6.8 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 82.5% | 88.9% | +6.5 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 18.3% | 12.0% | −6.3 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 33.2% | 38.6% | +5.5 |
