Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 16 (before the first match) against those on May 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | Relegation | 68.4% | 0% | −68.4 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 36.9% | 100% | +63.1 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 59.5% | 100% | +40.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 74.8% | 100% | +25.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 76.0% | 100% | +24.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 24.0% | 0% | −24.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 21.9% | 0% | −21.9 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 18.6% | 0% | −18.6 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 18.1% | 0% | −18.1 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 7.1% | 0% | −7.1 |