Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Barcelona with a 10.1% chance and Elche beat Cádiz with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 13 (before the first match) against those on May 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | Relegation | 92.1% | 68.4% | −23.7 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 23.8% | 36.9% | +13.1 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 90.6% | >99.9% | +9.4 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 87.3% | 94.7% | +7.3 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 53.4% | 59.5% | +6.2 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 24.1% | 18.6% | −5.5 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 4.2% | 0% | −4.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 70.8% | 74.8% | +4.0 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 22.0% | 18.1% | −3.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 20.7% | 24.0% | +3.3 |
