Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Barcelona with a 8.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 12 (before the first match) against those on April 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 71.2% | 26.3% | −45.0 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 39.9% | 77.7% | +37.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 55.4% | 78.6% | +23.2 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 81.7% | 97.6% | +15.9 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 18.7% | 6.9% | −11.8 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 36.0% | 47.2% | +11.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 27.5% | 16.8% | −10.7 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 24.3% | 14.1% | −10.3 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 9.8% | 1.3% | −8.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 33.8% | 25.8% | −8.1 |
