Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 7 (before the first match) against those on December 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 57.3% | 45.5% | −11.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 31.7% | 20.2% | −11.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 64.7% | 74.9% | +10.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 12.4% | 21.7% | +9.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 35.6% | 43.2% | +7.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 41.3% | 33.8% | −7.6 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 57.8% | 51.4% | −6.4 |
| Elche | Relegation | 20.2% | 26.4% | +6.2 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 31.2% | 37.2% | +6.0 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 10.6% | 16.5% | +5.8 |