Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Granada with a 14.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 8 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 42.5% | 30.7% | −11.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 51.0% | 42.3% | −8.7 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 27.0% | 34.5% | +7.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 50.0% | 57.0% | +7.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 67.5% | 73.8% | +6.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 32.8% | 38.9% | +6.1 |
| Granada | Champions League | 14.9% | 9.4% | −5.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 77.6% | 82.6% | +5.0 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 11.1% | 6.2% | −4.9 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 9.5% | 14.4% | +4.9 |
