Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Villarreal with a 24.6% chance and Mallorca beat Espanyol with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 29 (before the first match) against those on October 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 72.7% | 60.1% | −12.6 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 18.3% | 30.5% | +12.2 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 69.9% | 81.1% | +11.1 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 37.3% | 47.7% | +10.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 47.6% | 38.5% | −9.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 22.7% | 31.7% | +9.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 74.7% | 83.0% | +8.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 37.9% | 29.7% | −8.1 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 33.1% | 25.8% | −7.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 30.4% | 37.6% | +7.2 |
