Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Real Madrid with a 11.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 6 (before the first match) against those on October 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 37.6% | 23.2% | −14.4 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 60.1% | 46.4% | −13.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 31.7% | 44.1% | +12.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 83.0% | 72.2% | −10.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 18.0% | 26.6% | +8.5 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 47.7% | 55.6% | +7.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 61.5% | 54.6% | −6.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 29.7% | 36.6% | +6.8 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 18.7% | 25.1% | +6.4 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 81.1% | 87.1% | +6.1 |
