Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Athletic Club with a 20.6% chance and Real Valladolid beat Espanyol with a 15.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 26 (before the first match) against those on September 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 39.5% | 25.6% | −14.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 57.0% | 69.9% | +12.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 28.2% | 37.9% | +9.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 34.4% | 25.5% | −8.9 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 63.8% | 72.7% | +8.9 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 14.1% | 22.7% | +8.6 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 22.1% | 14.0% | −8.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 16.4% | 24.5% | +8.1 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 20.1% | 12.7% | −7.4 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 11.4% | 18.3% | +6.9 |
