Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Eibar beat Sevilla with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 22 (before the first match) against those on September 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 51.6% | 41.2% | −10.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 20.8% | 31.0% | +10.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 58.4% | 67.2% | +8.8 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 29.6% | 22.1% | −7.5 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 57.4% | 63.8% | +6.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 70.2% | 76.6% | +6.3 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 29.4% | 35.3% | +5.9 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 13.8% | 7.9% | −5.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 28.2% | 33.6% | +5.4 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 10.8% | 16.1% | +5.2 |
