Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Barcelona with a 18.9% chance and Real Sociedad beat Espanyol with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 15 (before the first match) against those on September 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 67.2% | 53.2% | −13.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 61.6% | 51.6% | −10.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 18.5% | 28.2% | +9.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 29.0% | 38.6% | +9.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 22.6% | 13.2% | −9.4 |
| Granada | Relegation | 18.1% | 9.5% | −8.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 33.4% | 41.7% | +8.3 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 49.1% | 57.4% | +8.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 12.8% | 20.8% | +8.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 62.3% | 70.2% | +7.9 |
