Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Villarreal with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 10 (before the first match) against those on July 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 9.5% | 26.8% | +17.3 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 72.5% | 63.3% | −9.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 84.5% | 93.0% | +8.5 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 8.3% | 0.9% | −7.4 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 3.9% | 9.3% | +5.5 |
| Granada | Europa League | 7.0% | 2.0% | −5.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 8.1% | 4.3% | −3.8 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 3.8% | 0% | −3.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 91.9% | 95.7% | +3.8 |
