Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Getafe with a 24.7% chance and Granada beat Real Sociedad with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 6 (before the first match) against those on July 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Europa League | 77.1% | 96.6% | +19.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 24.7% | 9.5% | −15.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 93.2% | 84.5% | −8.7 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 11.1% | 3.9% | −7.2 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 78.7% | 72.5% | −6.2 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 4.0% | 10.2% | +6.2 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 2.7% | 8.3% | +5.6 |
| Granada | Europa League | 1.7% | 7.0% | +5.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 88.7% | 91.9% | +3.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 11.3% | 8.1% | −3.2 |
