Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Leganés beat Athletic Club with a 16.3% chance, Osasuna beat Barcelona with a 9.8% chance, and Deportivo Alavés beat Real Betis with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 13 (before the first match) against those on July 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | Europa League | 63.3% | 38.5% | −24.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 26.8% | 42.4% | +15.6 |
| Granada | Europa League | 2.0% | 12.1% | +10.1 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 9.3% | 0% | −9.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 4.2% | 13.2% | +9.0 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 95.1% | 86.8% | −8.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 7.6% | 0% | −7.6 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 93.0% | 100% | +7.0 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 0.9% | 7.0% | +6.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 95.7% | 100% | +4.3 |
