Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Athletic Club with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 9 (before the first match) against those on March 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 29.5% | 57.1% | +27.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 69.1% | 42.4% | −26.6 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 67.6% | 44.3% | −23.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 13.4% | 34.7% | +21.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 43.3% | 63.9% | +20.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 54.7% | 36.3% | −18.4 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 66.5% | 84.1% | +17.6 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 23.9% | 39.6% | +15.7 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 24.9% | 9.4% | −15.5 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 81.7% | 66.4% | −15.3 |
