Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Sevilla with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 2 (before the first match) against those on February 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 56.5% | 43.3% | −13.2 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 54.7% | 67.6% | +12.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 67.2% | 54.7% | −12.5 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 44.7% | 56.6% | +11.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 41.7% | 50.0% | +8.3 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 74.4% | 81.7% | +7.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 20.5% | 13.3% | −7.2 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 27.8% | 34.5% | +6.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 22.4% | 28.7% | +6.3 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 71.9% | 66.5% | −5.3 |
