Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Real Madrid with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 16 (before the first match) against those on February 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | Champions League | 63.5% | 45.1% | −18.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 37.4% | 54.7% | +17.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 57.4% | 40.2% | −17.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 41.7% | 58.9% | +17.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 53.7% | 40.4% | −13.3 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 60.9% | 72.3% | +11.5 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 25.1% | 36.5% | +11.4 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 65.0% | 74.2% | +9.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 51.6% | 59.4% | +7.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 16.6% | 24.3% | +7.7 |
