Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Getafe with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 1 (before the first match) against those on October 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | Champions League | 14.6% | 23.4% | +8.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 27.9% | 19.6% | −8.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 73.8% | 65.5% | −8.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 52.1% | 59.5% | +7.4 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 51.7% | 44.6% | −7.1 |
| Levante | Relegation | 26.8% | 19.8% | −7.0 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 11.6% | 18.4% | +6.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 17.9% | 11.2% | −6.7 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 56.5% | 63.2% | +6.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 57.7% | 64.3% | +6.6 |
