Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Villarreal with a 10.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 27 (before the first match) against those on October 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 43.9% | 56.9% | +13.0 |
| Levante | Relegation | 35.5% | 26.8% | −8.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 31.9% | 23.4% | −8.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 25.8% | 17.9% | −7.9 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 9.4% | 16.5% | +7.1 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 8.8% | 15.1% | +6.3 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 45.8% | 51.7% | +5.9 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 10.3% | 15.9% | +5.6 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 13.3% | 18.5% | +5.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 74.9% | 71.0% | −3.9 |
