Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 4 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Celta Vigo with a 23.2% chance, Levante beat Real Madrid with a 9.3% chance, and Real Valladolid beat Real Betis with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 7 (before the first match) against those on October 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 65.5% | 53.8% | −11.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 24.4% | 35.7% | +11.4 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 69.3% | 78.2% | +8.9 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 63.2% | 71.8% | +8.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 62.8% | 54.9% | −7.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 15.9% | 23.7% | +7.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 19.6% | 12.1% | −7.4 |
| Levante | Relegation | 19.8% | 12.5% | −7.4 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 23.4% | 30.5% | +7.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 59.5% | 66.2% | +6.7 |
