Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leganés beat Barcelona with a 10.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 23 (before the first match) against those on September 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 29.0% | 43.9% | +14.9 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 57.2% | 45.8% | −11.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 40.6% | 29.7% | −10.9 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 45.4% | 56.0% | +10.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 15.6% | 25.8% | +10.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 85.6% | 75.7% | −10.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 83.7% | 74.9% | −8.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 48.1% | 56.9% | +8.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 40.2% | 31.9% | −8.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 16.4% | 8.5% | −7.8 |
