Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 17 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 37.2% | 48.1% | +10.9 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 45.7% | 36.0% | −9.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 46.4% | 55.5% | +9.1 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 20.8% | 29.0% | +8.3 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 13.3% | 5.4% | −8.0 |
| Levante | Relegation | 21.4% | 28.8% | +7.4 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 19.0% | 11.7% | −7.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 34.1% | 40.6% | +6.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 9.3% | 15.6% | +6.3 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 45.4% | 40.2% | −5.1 |