Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Huesca with a 21.5% chance and Getafe beat Sevilla with a 16.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 2 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 33.1% | 20.8% | −12.4 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 57.4% | 46.4% | −11.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 36.1% | 45.7% | +9.6 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 10.3% | 19.0% | +8.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 37.8% | 45.4% | +7.6 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 34.1% | 41.3% | +7.3 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 48.2% | 54.1% | +6.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 29.6% | 23.7% | −5.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 14.1% | 19.8% | +5.7 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 18.8% | 13.3% | −5.4 |
