Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Girona beat Villarreal with a 13.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 27 (before the first match) against those on October 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca | Relegation | 25.3% | 73.2% | +48.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 41.6% | 11.7% | −29.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 77.9% | 53.8% | −24.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 26.1% | 2.7% | −23.4 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 3.3% | 24.3% | +21.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 32.7% | 12.2% | −20.4 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 16.0% | 32.2% | +16.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 40.7% | 54.6% | +13.9 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 15.8% | 3.9% | −11.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 22.0% | 10.5% | −11.5 |
