Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leganés beat Real Valladolid with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 26 (before the first match) against those on December 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés | Relegation | 39.0% | 23.3% | −15.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 49.7% | 60.7% | +11.0 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 27.9% | 37.6% | +9.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 17.2% | 25.3% | +8.1 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 19.4% | 12.2% | −7.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 36.2% | 43.2% | +7.0 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 79.7% | 86.0% | +6.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 80.3% | 74.6% | −5.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 15.4% | 9.7% | −5.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 82.4% | 87.5% | +5.2 |
