Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Girona beat Espanyol with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 11 (before the first match) against those on November 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 61.6% | 49.7% | −11.9 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 28.5% | 19.4% | −9.2 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 47.8% | 39.0% | −8.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 73.4% | 80.3% | +7.0 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 27.9% | 21.0% | −6.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 9.3% | 15.8% | +6.5 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 16.2% | 22.6% | +6.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 63.0% | 69.4% | +6.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 9.6% | 15.4% | +5.8 |
| Girona | Champions League | 6.1% | 11.7% | +5.6 |
