Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Barcelona with a 10.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 5 (before the first match) against those on November 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 48.6% | 35.1% | −13.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 50.7% | 61.6% | +11.0 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 36.2% | 28.5% | −7.7 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 55.7% | 63.0% | +7.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 88.2% | 80.9% | −7.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 17.7% | 23.3% | +5.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 12.7% | 7.3% | −5.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 7.9% | 12.9% | +5.0 |
| Levante | Champions League | 10.8% | 5.8% | −5.0 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 11.5% | 6.6% | −4.9 |
