Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Girona beat Valencia with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 28 (before the first match) against those on November 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 40.4% | 50.7% | +10.3 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 29.5% | 36.2% | +6.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 42.1% | 48.6% | +6.5 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 16.1% | 10.2% | −5.9 |
| Girona | Relegation | 13.2% | 7.7% | −5.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 29.2% | 24.0% | −5.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 67.7% | 72.4% | +4.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 22.4% | 17.7% | −4.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 9.7% | 13.9% | +4.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 10.3% | 6.6% | −3.8 |
