Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Las Palmas beat Valencia with a 14.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 15 (before the first match) against those on January 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 84.4% | 72.1% | −12.3 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 12.7% | 21.9% | +9.2 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 88.4% | 80.1% | −8.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 11.9% | 19.0% | +7.1 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 31.3% | 37.1% | +5.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 15.1% | 20.7% | +5.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 63.1% | 68.6% | +5.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 55.7% | 60.6% | +4.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 29.6% | 34.4% | +4.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 8.1% | 3.7% | −4.5 |
