Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Atlético MadridChampions League46.3%54.8%+8.6
LeganésRelegation26.2%33.9%+7.7
BarcelonaChampions League67.6%75.1%+7.5
SevillaChampions League49.8%43.7%−6.1
EspanyolRelegation22.0%28.0%+6.0
GranadaRelegation42.7%36.8%−6.0
Sporting GijónRelegation14.5%20.4%+6.0
SevillaChampion11.7%7.4%−4.3
BarcelonaChampion20.1%24.4%+4.3
Real MadridChampions League81.6%85.5%+3.9
Home 63.8%
Draw 20.9%
Away 15.2%
Home 15.9%
Draw 21.3%
Away 62.8%
Home 71.6%
Draw 18.4%
Away 10.0%
Home 27.3%
Draw 27.6%
Away 45.1%
Home 55.1%
Draw 23.9%
Away 21.0%
Home 24.3%
Draw 25.8%
Away 49.9%
Home 67.2%
Draw 19.8%
Away 12.9%
Home 63.4%
Draw 21.1%
Away 15.5%
Home 18.0%
Draw 22.3%
Away 59.7%
Home 44.5%
Draw 27.8%
Away 27.7%